WEBVTT

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[Indiscriminate chatter]

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[Families boarding a river ferry]

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[Fife and drum music]

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[Narrator:] The birthrate in
the United States is declining.

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This decline, however,
will be dramatically offset

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by the growing numbers
of young parents

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who are planning
families of their own.

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[Patriotic music continues]

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[Family chatter at
the dinner table]

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Adding to this nation's
rate of population growth,

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one of the highest of the
advanced industrialized nations

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is the continuation
of large families

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among the nation's poor.

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[Family chatter at
the dinner table]

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[Golf cart engine racing]

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Citizens over 65
are also increasing

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in number and proportion.

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An increase

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brought about by remarkable
death control methods.

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[Engine running]

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[Light fanciful muisic]

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Affluent Americans are generally
unaware of the serious effects

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this growth will have on
generations yet unborn

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and on the nation's poor.

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[Fade to black]

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[Fife and drum music]

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[The Population Problem]

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[U.S.A.: Seeds Of Change]

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[Narrator:] The modern American,

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the wealthiest man in the world

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is the product of
a chain of events

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in which rising
population has always

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played an important role.

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[Band marching
near a cannon]

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The great American dventure
began with the population

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of less than four million.

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In colonial America, families
of 8 to 10 were common.

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In the intervening century and
a half, family size declined.

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But the process was
gradual, and immigration

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helped keep population rising.

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[Carriage wheels, horse’s hooves]

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Growing population
permitted America

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to colonize its vast territories
and later helped the nation

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industrialize quickly
and efficiently.

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In the 1930s, it seemed that
population growth had reached

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a point of stability,
and any increase

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would be slow and regular.

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Families with two or less
children were common.

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Many women delayed marriage
have failed to marry.

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[Carriage wheels,
horse’s hooves]

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Among married women,
many remained childless.

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[Propeller plane engine]

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But after World
War II, it became

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fashionable to
marry, to marry early

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and to produce children
in rapid succession right

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after marriage.

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The proportion of very large
families continued to decline.

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[Engine shutdown]

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But because this
was more than offset

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by the fewest single
or childless women,

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the average family
size increased.

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[Inaudible]

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The size of the
American families

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since the end of World
War two has within it

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the seeds of change
for the whole society.

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[Graphic]

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Most Americans control
their family size,

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but at a relatively high level.

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The seemingly innocent
fact that in the 1950s,

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Americans have chosen to have
one more child per family

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than they did in the '30s is now
radically increasing the size

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and changing the age
structure of our population.

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And with it, the
future of the nation.

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[Man in front of a
computer system]

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[Conrad Taeuber, Assistant Director
of the Census]

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[Conrad Taeuber:] Well, I think
the birthrate in the United

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States is very much
the response to

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social and economic conditions.

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My own explanation for what has
happened to us since the war

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is that the whole outlook of our
young people toward the future

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has changed contrast
this with the 1930s.

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When people hesitated
to get married,

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they hesitated to
have children, they

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hesitated to have the
second or third child,

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because they simply didn't know
what their future was like.

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One of the dramatic things
in the changing population

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structure of the
United States is

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what happened to us as a
result of the baby boom

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immediately after World War II.

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And of course,
shortly, this is going

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to mean a very sharp increase
in the number of young families

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and probably an increase
in the number of babies.

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[Young people dancing]

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[Narrator:] The young are the
largest and fastest growing age

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group in our population
90 million Americans

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nearly half the
population are under 25.

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[Dance music]

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Nearly a third of
the total population

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is a matter of fact is under 15.

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Thus if the birthrate were cut in half,

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the population would
continue to grow rapidly

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because of the ever-increasing
number of potential mothers.

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And more women marry
in the United States,

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and they marry younger.

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These middle-class
youngsters will probably

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adopt their parents mores and
follow their parents example.

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Like their parents, they'll
enjoy enough prosperity

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to permit them to have as
large a family as they desire.

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Like their parents, each
of these youngsters one day

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will have two to four children.

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The girls will be in a hurry
to marry because the mores

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so dictate.

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[Music and dancing]

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[Inaudible]

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[Philip M. Hauser, Director, Population Research and Training Center]

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[Philip M. Hauser:] We are now
witnessing the very peculiar situation

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that our younger people and our
older people, those 65 and over

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are growing much more
rapidly than people

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of intermediate age.

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I think perhaps the smartest
generation of Americans

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we ever had were the youngsters
who managed to get themselves

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born during the Depression '30s.

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At that time, the
marriage rates went down

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our birthrates went down.

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These young people
were in great demand.

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They were able to get jobs at
relatively high interest wage

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rates.

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They faced relatively
little risk of unemployment

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during their careers, great
chances for promotion.

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They married early and
contributed

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to a high birthrate.

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The youngsters who
managed to get themselves

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born as part of the
post-war baby boom

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or something less than bright.

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They didn't choose the
proper birth dates.

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And as a matter of fact, they
may have a perfectly different

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outlook as far as their
careers are concerned.

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Young persons, 20 to 24 years of age

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who diminished by 6 percent during
the 50s will increase by 54 percent

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during the 60s.

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Now imagine the swing from a
6 percent decline to a 54 percent increase

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in adjoining decades.

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This is the kind
of tidal wave that

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is hitting our
school systems, that

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is hitting our economy,
that is creating many

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of the problems that
confront this specific cohort

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or generation of youngsters.

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[Motorcycle engine starts]

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[Narrator:] The
needs of the young

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are the greatest challenge
which rising population offers

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America.

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Their first demand
has been in education.

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During the '60s, high school
enrolments across the nation

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will double.

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[Student chatter]

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Yet numbers of qualified
teachers and classroom space

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are falling behind.

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With this rapid growth of
our student population,

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the greatest concern is that
the quality of Education

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will suffer.

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[Band pep-rally]

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College enrollment
will increase by 100 percent

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during the present decade
from four million in 1960

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to eight million by 1970.

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[Applause]

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[stamper] The tutorial function
of the university

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may suffer unless greater
commitments are made to relieve

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the burden of these numbers.

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In an age which
demands excellence,

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we either must make
a greater investment

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in the growth of
our schools or face

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the corrosive effects
of overcrowding

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on the quality of education.

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There is hardly a
more pressing decision

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before the American public
as the baby boom begins

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to bear its own children.

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The equally large or
even larger college

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generation of the future.

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[Inaudible]

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[Daniel P. Moynihan,
Assistant Secretary of Labor]

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[Daniel P. Moynihan:]
Providing the jobs

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for the young people now
rolling into the workforce

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is without any question,
the single most pressing

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social issue of our time.

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We have not solved the problem
of employment in America.

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And we are somewhat
singular among

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the industrial democracies
and not having done so.

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The Department of Labor
workforce projections

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for the near future
show an expected increase

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in the workforce of 12
million persons by 1972.

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Now we have two
clear alternatives

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in what we do to meet this
new demand, this new need.

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If we grow over this period
at the rate of growth which

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occurred last year,
1964, we'll have jobs

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for those 12 million persons.

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On the other hand, if we grow at
the rate, which we average say

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from 1957 to 1963, we
won't come anywhere

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near finding 12 million new jobs
for 12 million new job seekers.

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And what you'll have is
by 1972 is a first class

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political and social
crisis in this nation.

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[Conrad Taeuber:] We're continuing
to grow older in one sense

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that it will continue to have
a larger number of older people

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partly because back in the
1890s, some 60 years ago,

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65 years ago, the number
of births was going up

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and also in part because we had
a good many immigrants coming

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in the early part of
the 1900s who are now

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reaching the upper ages.

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[Softball game]

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[Public address announcer:]

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Next batter is Harry Howland--
Harry is from the state

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of Delaware, one of our
oldest active players 86.

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[Bat striking the ball]

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[Narrator:] Older people are
the second fastest growing age

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group within our population.

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19 million Americans
are over 65.

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[Crowd chatter]

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The reason-- [?] control.

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A child born today can
expect to live to age 60

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with the same probability
that he had to live to age 10

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a century ago.

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[Ball game continues]

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[Small dining area]

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Some older people
continue to work.

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This couple are
social work trainees.

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Both over 70, they're hopeful
of leading other senior citizens

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to this kind of work and
to continuing fulfillment.

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[Woman at table:] For three years,
but I had been there before.

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Students like myself, I don't go
anywhere in the evenings, [?].

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[Traffic sounds]

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[Narrator:] However,
many older people

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think of retirement in terms
of leisure and an end to work.

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[Shuttle bus engine]

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Laguna Hills Leisure World
is one of the growing number

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of retirement villages
built to accommodate

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the growing older population.

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There are other leisure worlds
going up all over the country.

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Though they may not
represent the best

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answer for the
elderly citizen, they

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are necessary to care for
the populations second

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fastest growing segment.

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[Engine noise]

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Because we've never had to
accommodate large numbers

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of older people in the past.

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Their special problems
are relatively new to us

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unlike other nations we've only
begun to consider their needs.

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[Engine noise]

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[Tractor tiller rotating]

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Not only is America growing
younger, older, and faster,

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it is also moving.

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Internal migration is
another important factor

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in the changing population
of the United States.

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On the land, an earlier form of
automation has had its effect.

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[Tractor engine]

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With the rise of
mechanical agriculture

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and the growth of big farms,
the need for human labor

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has diminished.

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[Music: "How Can I Keep
from Singing"]

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In the last half
century, rural population

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has dropped by more than
30 percent as people moved off

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the land to the cities.

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[Abandoned sites in the city]

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[Family walks past
a burial headstone]

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The exodus from
the land is still

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going on today, led
now by the rural poor.

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The last remnants of
the old land system

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is that fifth of the
population which

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bears the least resemblance to
the image of modern America.

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The poorest is the
Southern Negro.

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[Music continues]

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[Dilapidated farm]

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[Women in rundown house]

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[Speaker 1:] What do you think
draws these...

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[Narrator:] Landless, illiterate,

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without the simplest
amenities of American life.

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The Negro sharecropper
is also the victim

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of a disaster of his own doing...
the number of his children.

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However, his children
are learning.

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And as they learn,
they are leaving.

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[Indiscriminate chatter]

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Slowly, the old way is changing.

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[Baby crying, indiscriminate chatter]

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[Metal clanking]

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Internal migration has
brought not only the poor.

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But the bulk of our
population to the city.

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70 percent of the nation now lives
in some urban centers.

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By the end of the century,
it may be as high as 90 percent.

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[Whistle]

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[City traffic]

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[Alarm sound]

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[Whistle]

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[Sirens]

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[Subway train track noise]

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The city is the goal not
only of the Southern Negro,

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but of many other
minority groups.

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The Puerto Rican, the Mexican,
and the Appalachian white.

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By virtue of his
color, the poor white

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has been dealt a better deal.

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He's not as impoverished
as the rural Negro.

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But by his own standards,
he is still poor.

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And he often shares
common disadvantages.

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He has few skills.

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He often cannot read or write.

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In the city, the man who cannot
even sign his name can find

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little steady work.

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[Music]

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[Teacher:] Turn to page 14.

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[Narrator:] These adults
are learning to read.

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They're attempting to
master the simplest

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skill of any civilized people.

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[Class:] Ben likes the ham.

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The most important
question is whether they'll

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succeed soon enough, and
in large enough numbers

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to stem the heritage of poverty
from their own generation

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to the next.

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[Student:] Ben likes the ham.

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[Teacher:] Very good,
nice, sharp pronunciation.

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Mr. Carlson, please.

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[Mr. Carlson:] Ben likes the hand.

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Then like the hand.

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[Teacher:] Continue
around the table.

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[Student:] Ben like the hand.

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[Fade to black]

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[Thud]

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[Children in bed]

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[Narrator:] Because the poor
beget poor and these poor beget

16:17.300 --> 16:20.100
other poor, and
because we've not yet

16:20.100 --> 16:22.866
found a way out of this
culture

16:22.866 --> 16:25.566
of intergenerational dependency.

16:25.566 --> 16:28.832
There are those who maintain
the poor will always be with us.

16:29.433 --> 16:30.066
[Footsteps]

16:30.066 --> 16:30.632
[Lightswitch click]

16:33.233 --> 16:35.399
[Footsteps]

16:35.400 --> 16:36.833
[Lights out]

16:36.833 --> 16:40.199
[Busy clinic chatter]

16:40.200 --> 16:42.633
This is a public health
clinic in Chicago

16:42.633 --> 16:49.033
that provides birth control
information and devices.

16:49.033 --> 16:51.066
The Chicago program
is under the direction

16:51.066 --> 16:52.999
of the Board of Health.

16:53.000 --> 16:57.033
Efforts in this field as yet
have been relatively guarded.

16:57.033 --> 16:58.933
The majority of
middle-class Americans

16:58.933 --> 17:02.233
practice some form
of birth control.

17:02.233 --> 17:07.133
It is the poor who most need
some form of birth control.

17:07.133 --> 17:12.066
The poor are growing faster
than any other economic group.

17:12.066 --> 17:17.132
The means to abolish
poverty are available.

17:17.133 --> 17:19.999
The longer we delay,
the more it will cost.

17:20.666 --> 17:21.366
[Door bangs]

17:21.366 --> 17:25.766
[Indiscriminate chatter]

17:27.066 --> 17:28.899
[Loud exhaust fan]

17:28.900 --> 17:33.600
The unskilled and semi-skilled,
most often non-white,

17:33.600 --> 17:35.333
have been the first
to feel the effect

17:35.333 --> 17:38.599
of rapid technological change.

17:38.600 --> 17:41.633
It is on those with less
than a high school education

17:41.633 --> 17:43.666
that automation has
the greatest impact.

17:43.666 --> 17:45.032
[Bakery machines clicking]

17:45.033 --> 17:47.799
Automation has
brought many benefits.

17:47.800 --> 17:49.433
But its greatest
good can only be

17:49.433 --> 17:51.933
derived from the hands
of a skilled workforce.

17:51.933 --> 17:53.566
[Bakery machines clicking]

17:53.566 --> 17:55.932
Not only must the economy
be flexible enough

17:55.933 --> 17:58.899
to receive the increasing
numbers of new workers,

17:58.900 --> 18:01.533
but we must ensure that
those workers are educated

18:01.533 --> 18:05.166
and flexible enough to adapt to
our technological revolution.

18:05.166 --> 18:13.999
[Data processing equipment
circa 1969]

18:14.000 --> 18:20.100
[Repetitive musical tone]

18:20.100 --> 18:22.500
Those aspects of congestion
which affect us more

18:22.500 --> 18:25.600
intimately are not
always dramatic.

18:25.600 --> 18:27.933
Yet in bits and
pieces they erode away

18:27.933 --> 18:29.566
the quality of our daily lives.

18:29.566 --> 19:00.366
[Busy diner serving patrons]

19:00.366 --> 19:00.999
[Music ends]

19:02.066 --> 19:05.966
[Highway overpass]

19:05.966 --> 19:09.999
The car is the most evident
symbol of our prosperity,

19:10.000 --> 19:12.500
but it is also the most
accomplished instrument

19:12.500 --> 19:13.566
of congestion.

19:13.566 --> 19:19.266
[Close-up shot of passing cars]

19:19.266 --> 19:24.966
[Cars whooshing by]

19:24.966 --> 19:28.632
[Horns blaring, wheels screeching]

19:28.633 --> 19:41.899
[Terrible congestion,
frustrated motorists]

19:41.900 --> 19:45.700
[Woodwind whimsical music]

19:45.700 --> 19:49.533
[Young man on bike cuts through
traffic congestion]

19:49.533 --> 19:57.166
[Woodwind, whimsical music]

19:57.166 --> 19:59.799
It's growing numbers far
exceed the capacity of present

19:59.800 --> 20:03.333
and projected
urban road systems.

20:03.333 --> 20:06.166
Automobile exhaust is
also a major contributor

20:06.166 --> 20:07.566
to air pollution.

20:07.566 --> 20:14.432
[Highway traffic]

20:14.433 --> 20:18.299
Our mobility carries as much
farther than the suburbs.

20:18.300 --> 20:21.900
With our growing prosperity
and increased leisure time,

20:21.900 --> 20:23.666
we've become a great
outdoor people.

20:23.666 --> 20:26.632
[Whimsical music]

20:26.633 --> 20:29.999
Seasonally, whole segments of
the urban population decamp

20:30.000 --> 20:31.733
for the beaches
and slopes, where

20:31.733 --> 20:33.433
people encounter
exactly what they

20:33.433 --> 20:36.299
wish to avoid other people.

20:36.300 --> 20:38.066
[Lively flute music]

20:38.066 --> 20:41.299
[Tense repetitive music]

20:41.300 --> 20:45.633
[Skiers in long lines]

20:45.633 --> 20:48.199
[Crowded beach]

20:48.200 --> 20:50.600
[Light jazz music]

20:50.600 --> 20:55.266
[Crowded beach]

20:55.266 --> 20:58.966
Recreation space is already
in critical short supply.

20:58.966 --> 21:07.466
[Crowded beach]

21:07.466 --> 21:10.066
[Aerial view of a suburb]

21:12.700 --> 21:14.833
Eventually, the
growing urban areas

21:14.833 --> 21:18.333
coalesce, forming strip cities.

21:18.333 --> 21:22.699
In the future, there will
be three of tremendous size.

21:22.700 --> 21:25.866
One spreading over the
central Midwest, one

21:25.866 --> 21:28.732
along the Eastern seaboard
stretching from Boston

21:28.733 --> 21:31.199
to Washington, and
the third covering

21:31.200 --> 21:34.366
the West Coast between San
Francisco and Los Angeles.

21:34.366 --> 21:39.299
[Ticking and tapping music]

21:39.300 --> 21:42.100
Since the end of World
War II, our cities

21:42.100 --> 21:45.200
have expanded outward as
a result of congestion,

21:45.200 --> 21:47.633
and the increased mobility
of the middle class.

21:47.633 --> 21:53.066
[Ticking and tapping music]

21:53.066 --> 22:00.166
[Aerial landscape]

22:00.166 --> 22:14.899
[Farm setting,
bulldozer plowing brush]

22:14.900 --> 22:17.400
This expansion carries
the urban complex,

22:17.400 --> 22:22.633
far from its core city,
absorbing towns, farmland,

22:22.633 --> 22:23.966
everything in its path.

22:23.966 --> 22:28.832
[Bulldozer engine roar, twigs snapping]

22:28.833 --> 22:31.733
Farmland is an easy victim.

22:31.733 --> 22:36.366
Because it's flat, it's
ideal for development.

22:36.366 --> 22:39.099
As taxes go up, the
relatively low

22:39.100 --> 22:41.833
dollar return of agriculture
makes it unprofitable

22:41.833 --> 22:43.899
for many marginal
farmers to continue.

22:43.900 --> 22:53.366
[Chainsaw engine cycling]

22:53.366 --> 22:55.332
[Construction site hammering]

22:55.333 --> 22:58.499
Over a million acres of
farmland are put to urban uses

22:58.500 --> 23:00.266
each year.

23:00.266 --> 23:03.832
The effect of this loss
is a matter of dispute.

23:03.833 --> 23:06.533
Some feel our increasing
ability to produce food

23:06.533 --> 23:09.399
makes this loss of
land unimportant.

23:09.400 --> 23:11.700
Others that we
will need this land

23:11.700 --> 23:13.833
to feed our growing population.

23:13.833 --> 23:17.333
And perhaps that of
other parts of the world.

23:17.333 --> 23:21.233
This issue is too crucial
to debate much longer.

23:21.233 --> 23:22.866
It is time to decide.

23:22.866 --> 23:27.732
[Hammering]

23:28.766 --> 23:36.266
[Soft tense music]

23:36.266 --> 23:39.732
There are great areas of unused
land in the United States.

23:39.733 --> 23:42.066
Density of population
is relatively low.

23:42.066 --> 23:44.766
[Soft tense music]

23:44.766 --> 23:47.599
But good land is
already at a premium,

23:47.600 --> 23:50.533
especially in California,
the fastest growing state

23:50.533 --> 23:51.066
in the Union.

23:51.066 --> 23:53.666
[Real stage sign,
Silver Queen Estates]

23:53.666 --> 23:56.666
As a result, people
are invited to settle

23:56.666 --> 23:59.266
where the hardiest pioneer
would have feared to stop.

23:59.266 --> 24:02.066
[Campers approaching]

24:02.066 --> 24:05.299
[Traffic sound]

24:05.300 --> 24:09.133
After in-migration to the
cities, migration to the West

24:09.133 --> 24:13.099
is the most significant
movement of our population.

24:13.100 --> 24:18.600
Over 1,000 new people arrive
in California every day.

24:18.600 --> 24:23.533
The Golden State once a
frontier is filling up.

24:23.533 --> 24:29.799
[Tense music]

24:29.800 --> 24:34.766
[Guard and family
consult a map]

24:34.766 --> 24:38.299
[Cars drive off]

24:38.300 --> 24:39.633
[The Honorable Pat Brown,
Governor of California]

24:39.633 --> 24:43.299
[Pat Brown:] Of course,
there's no virtue in bigness.

24:43.300 --> 24:47.300
But bigness can destroy
us if we're not careful.

24:47.300 --> 24:51.466
Every single family coming
into the state of California

24:51.466 --> 24:55.666
necessitates the
investment of $17,000

24:55.666 --> 25:00.099
in new streets, new sidewalks,
new roads, new schools,

25:00.100 --> 25:05.466
new water facilities, new rapid
transportation, new pollution

25:05.466 --> 25:07.732
controls of various kinds.

25:07.733 --> 25:11.033
If we do those things
and we invest in water,

25:11.033 --> 25:14.399
in education, in roads, in
highways, in recreation,

25:14.400 --> 25:17.200
in the preservation
of scenic areas,

25:17.200 --> 25:19.900
then California
will be able to take

25:19.900 --> 25:22.533
care of this tremendous growth.

25:22.533 --> 25:25.733
If we don't, I'm a
little bit afraid

25:25.733 --> 25:30.599
that this great and
beautiful state will not

25:30.600 --> 25:35.900
be the place that I knew as
a boy and as a young man,

25:35.900 --> 25:38.133
and even as I know it today.

25:38.866 --> 25:42.466
[School children gathered]

25:42.466 --> 25:44.132
[Cannon ignited]

25:44.133 --> 25:45.833
[Cannon explosion]

25:45.833 --> 25:49.066
[Narrator:] Our image of
ourselves is changing.

25:49.066 --> 25:52.832
Once Americans could take
pride in growing population,

25:52.833 --> 25:54.299
it was building
their prosperity.

25:54.300 --> 25:56.466
[Fife and drum music]

25:56.466 --> 26:00.299
This is no longer
so simple or true.

26:00.300 --> 26:02.666
The problems of population
in the United States

26:02.666 --> 26:07.499
should be of serious
concern to all Americans.

26:07.500 --> 26:09.366
Americans will never
face the problems

26:09.366 --> 26:11.232
which uncontrolled
population is brought

26:11.233 --> 26:15.799
to 2/3 of the world in
nations such as India.

26:15.800 --> 26:20.166
[Patriotic music continues]

26:20.166 --> 26:23.966
Most of us are part of the large
and prosperous middle class,

26:23.966 --> 26:27.066
which is responsible for the
recent changes in the size,

26:27.066 --> 26:32.132
age, and movement
of our population.

26:32.133 --> 26:37.399
85 percent of American couples practice
some form of birth control.

26:37.400 --> 26:39.900
This fact means that
we as individuals

26:39.900 --> 26:42.800
can determine how we will grow.

26:42.800 --> 26:46.133
If we choose a more
moderate rate of growth,

26:46.133 --> 26:48.166
future generations
will inherit a world

26:48.166 --> 26:52.466
of more manageable proportions,
keeping at least a portion

26:52.466 --> 26:54.632
of those qualities
of life, which

26:54.633 --> 26:57.899
we feel worth preserving today.

26:57.900 --> 27:01.666
Yet if we continue to grow at
the same rate at which we have

27:01.666 --> 27:06.266
from 1947 onward, there will
be 400 million Americans

27:06.266 --> 27:12.499
or more by the year 2000.

27:12.500 --> 27:14.600
The problems we see
today will by then

27:14.600 --> 27:17.800
of assumed dangerous
proportions,

27:17.800 --> 27:24.566
unless parents begin
to limit family size.

27:24.566 --> 27:39.666
[Montage of people on a
sightseeing ferry]

27:39.666 --> 27:42.499
[Patriotic music continues]

27:42.500 --> 27:48.000
[Family projecting home movies]

27:48.000 --> 27:56.333
[Produced by: In-Sight Productions, Inc. Charles Vaughan, President]

27:56.333 --> 28:00.999
[Writer: Edward Pfister]

28:01.000 --> 28:05.266
[Narrator: Ron Allen]

28:05.266 --> 28:10.232
[Produced under a grant from: Cordelia S. May]

28:10.233 --> 28:12.099
[Hour version produced in association
with United States Productions, Inc.]

28:12.100 --> 28:16.366
[Francis C. Thayer, President]

28:16.366 --> 28:21.499
[Special Thanks: Film Unit Bureau of Audio Visual Instruction, N.Y. City Board of Education]

28:21.500 --> 28:42.966
[Credits]

28:45.300 --> 28:53.733
[Animated NET logo,
hectic music]

28:53.733 --> 28:57.233
[Announcer:] This is NET, the
National Educational

28:57.233 --> 28:59.733
Television network.
