Reprinted from the NATION’s HEALTH, August, 1922, issue, Vol. IV, No. 8 Incidence of Heart Disease in the Community’ Out of Systematic Study and Full Records in Every Case Will Grow Adequate Preventive Methods By LOUIS I. DUBLIN, PuH.D., STATIsTICAN, METROPOLITAN LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY, NEW York CITY. DISCUSSION of the incidence a of heart disease in the commu- nity is especially pertinent at this time in view of the high death rate from this disease that has prevailed during the present year. We in the Metropolitan Life Insurance Company have an advantageous position watch- ing the experience among the many millions of our policyholders. We can see month by month and, in fact, week by week, just what conditions of health prevail in the country at large. Since November, 1921, and continu- ing each month to date, the death rate from heart disease has been ap- preciably higher than it was during the corresponding months of the pre- vious year. The same has been true for the associated organic diseases, such as, Bright’s disease, cerebral hemorrhage, and apoplexy. It must be remembered that the last three years were favorable ones for heart disease mortality... [he sates fer-4919,-1920,- The fundamental importance of collecting all pertinent facts in regard to the incidence of heart disease in the community is urged. Uniformity of record, with such details of history and physical findings as will enable comparison, would bring out a mass of data which would just- ify definite prognosis which is now impossible. Effective pre- ventive work on a wide scale must await such a mode of pro- cedure. Nor should such data, to be ef- fective, be drawn exclusively from mortality records. Morbid- ity records need to be so ex- tended as to point out the in- ciptent case, and the. predispos- ing environmental or constitu- tional condition which led to disabling heart lesions. Our portant as these two conditions are in affecting the heart disease rate ad- versely. We shall have to watch the developments for the rest of the year very carefully. These facts are disturbing to all engaged in public health work because the figures for recent years had given some encouragement that a definite downward tendency had come for heart disease. It must be remem- bered that the great improvement in the rate for tuberculosis has left heart disease in the first place as the leading cause of death. During the first eight years of the decade, there was hardly any decline in the figures among insured lives. In the general population of the Registration Area, there was an almost continuous in- crease in the mortality from heart disease. But, in the years 1919, 1920, and 1921, the great improvement in the figures already referred to gave and 1921 were the lowest recorded during the last decade. When the in- crease began in the winter months of 1921, the change attracted little at- tention. The possibility that it ushered in a definite check in the fa- vorable downward tendency for heart disease mortality was not seriously considered. But, by the end of Jan- uary, 1922, there could be no longer any question that a definite upward tendency was in progress. As _ will be seen from the graph, the heart disease death rate increased sharply month by month until in March the rate reached the maximum of 168.2 deaths per 100,000 living, one of the highest figures recorded in recent years among Metropolitan Industrial policyholders. (Chart I) Obviously, some of this increase for heart disease is the direct result of the influenza epidemic which broke out in the early months of this year. But this cannot be the whole cause because heart disease death rates that were higher than normal prevailed for several months before the influ- enza epidemic and have continued for several months after its close. The experience among insured lives would seem to indicate that we are experi- *Read before the Boston Association of Cardiac Clinics, Boston, Mass., May 18, 1922. present statistical studies are sertously inadequate in this re- gard. encing in the current year a serious increase in the incidence of heart dis- ease deaths quite apart from the ef- fect of influenza and pneumonia, im- Chart 1 Death Retes per 100,000 from ORGANIC DISKASES OF HEART In Specified Menthe of 1921 and 1922. hetropolitan Life Insurance Company, Industrial Departnent, Chart I.—The heart disease rate increased sharply month by month until in March the rate reached the maximum of 168.2 deaths per 100,000 living, one of the high- est figures recorded in recent years among Metropolitan industrial policy holders. cause tor—hepefulness—that-—a new—-sit--—— uation had been inaugurated. Condi- tions at the present time are not very encouraging in this respect and would seem to indicate that the favorable heart disease mortality experience of the last few years was possibly only a temporary one, reflecting in part the result of the influenza epidemic of 1918 and 1919, when a large num- ber of advanced cardiac patients were very likely eliminated, and also the effect of improved economic conditions for the wage working population dur- ing the war. It is a good deal of a question in view of all the facts, as shown in the _ following graph, whether there has been any lasting improvement in heart disease mor- tality during the last decade. This disease is today the chief cause of death. It is likewise a condition of the greatest importance from a public health standpoint. In spite of its leading position in mortality and mor- bidity, there has been virtually no gain in its control; the campaign against heart disease is very much in the same position as that against tuberculosis fifteen or twenty years ago (Chart II). The incidence of any disease may be studied from two angles: (1) as a cause of sickness and, (2) as a cause of death. In respect to sick- Chart If Death Rates per 100,200 from ORGANIC DISSASES OF HRAPT. Experience of the Metropolitan Life Insurance Co., Industrial Tep't., and of the U. 8. Registration Aren (ages 1 tc /4) Compared. Death Rates 1911 to 1921. per 100,000 (ees er ‘ peabe ssl 1911 1912 1913 1914 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919 1920 1921 , Trend line, 1911 to 1920. Chart II.—Conditions at present would seem to indicate that the favorable heart disease mortality experience was possibly only a temporary one. All facts considered, it is a question whether there has been any lasting improvement in heart disease mor- tality during the last decade. ness or morbidity, we have very few facts indeed. There is very little au- thentic information on the preval- ence of various types of heart affec- tions. More recently, some informa- tion has been accumulated on the prev- alence of heart lesions among school children as a result of the work of school medical inspectors. The exam- inations are, however, often made and recorded in a perfunctory manner. The greatest variations appear in the tabulations. It is not always possible to determine whether the figures in- clude functional as well as organic disturbances. The result is the great- est variability, some cities showing an incidence of two per cent of the children affected and others less than one-half of one per cent. On the other hand, careful examinations have been made among certain industrial groups which show a considerable prevalence of heart affections. The findings of Dr. Schereschewsky of the United States Public Health Service among gar- ment workers in New York; of Rob- inson and Wilson among employees in various industries in Cincinnati; and of Harris and Dublin among food handlers in New York, indicate that about two per cent of working adults have organic heart disease of one kind or another. The army medical ex- aminers in connection with the draft and camp examinations rejected about four and a half per cent of those ex- amined because of heart defects. The figures will, of course, vary consid- erably with the group of persons ex- amined, the severity of their occu- pations and the age of the men ex- amined. But, altogether, the evidence would seem to indicate that at least two per cent of the population show cardiac defects on examination. This means that in the population of the United States, more than two million persons of all ages suffer from serious heart impairments. This fact alone indicates the magnitude of this par- ticular health problem, and what pro-. vision we must expect to make in the next decade to provide for the discov- ery and the care of these persons. The statistics of heart disease mor- tality are more satisfactory, both in point of areas covered, of detail as ' to color, sex and age, and of diagnos- tic accuracy. Deaths are reported, even if the cause is not always stated absolutely clearly, especially in con- ditions where heart disease is asso- ciated with disturbances of the vas- cular and renal systems. Valuable use may be made of the figures, how- ever, both in the reports of the Reg- istration Area, and more especially for persons insured in the larger com- panies. ° 1. am- in ~a - ‘position. to present the figures for the ten-year period 1911 to 1920 among the many millions of persons insured in the In- dustrial Department of the Metro- politan and to show the incidence of heart disease as a cause of death at the various age periods of life, in each one of the main classes of this group, that is, among the white males, the white females, the colored males, and colored females. Before we proceed, it is well to explain just how we measure the mor- tality from the several diseases. The index, or death rate, is the number of deaths from any disease during a calendar year for each 100,000 per- sons exposed during the year. The figures in the following table are ob- tained in this way. The only point to be remembered is that the rates are specific and refer to the particular class of persons designated. Thus, the rate 7.1 in the column “white males” at the ages one to four years means that seven deaths from heart disease occurred among white male children ages one to four for every 100,000 such white male children who were insured in that year. The other figures are obtained in a similar man- ner—(Table I and Chart IIT). The first point that comes to view from an examination of the tables and of the graphic illustration is that the incidence of heart disease as a cause of death increases consistently with age. At the age period 35 to 44 when persons should be at the height of their productivity, one white person dies from heart disease in every thousand living and two colored per- sons out of each thousand. At the age period 65 to 74, the number of deaths from heart disease has in- creased to about 15 in each one thou- sand living, or to put the facts in another way, deaths from heart- dis- ease constitute 9.8 per cent of all deaths at ages 35 to 44, but, at the older period, 65 to 74, they are re- sponsible for 21.9 per cent of the Death Rates per 100,000 2614. 2000 1600 1600 | White Males 1400 colored: Males *-357—"* | 1200 1000 254034 Age Periods Chart Ill Death Rates per 100,000 from ORGANIC DISHASES OF HHART. white and Colored Groups Compsred by Sex and by Age Periods. Metropolitan Life Insurance Company, Industrial Department, 1911 to 1920. Death Rates 100,000 2ebat 2000 1800 whee} Fenales): —.:- . Colored Females 1600 De 1400 1200 1000 800 | 600 Age Periods Chart III.—Statistics of heart disease distributed according to color, «ge and sex, and diagnosis jndieate increased incidence with age, greater incidence among colored persons than white. Tho rates are higher for females in the age groups below thirty, but higher for males from that age onward, the difference being regularly greater for males with advancing years. 2 eT) TABLE I.—Death Rates per 100,000 from Organic Diseases of the Heart. Metropolitan Life Insurance Company, Industrial Department, 1911 to 1920. White Colored Age Periods | Male Female Male Female Miiaes ison ee ee isa 199.8 189.1 200.4 DA ls ee aa tee te | it 5.9 13.4 | 17.5 Gch a eee cee | 14.0 16.7 i | 16.5 OSI eo ee | 21.8 29.1 20.2 28.9 USO a, ies 28.9 30.0 PAS ee 36.7 ONG et ee | O76 30.8 BOA 40.2 Deen eke ca, | 47.5 45.3 83.2 15.7 BE res ewe ee ieee cal 108.6 89.3 199.0 199.8 Ab EOE i ne eae eet | 245.1 195.2 403.1 414.5 DDIOA oe cout ae 622.2 516.0 BE3.0-72) 785.6 ObTAe eee ate oe 6000 1,445.9 1,717.0 1,570.0 Gore ee ee | 3,158.5 2,910.4 2,674.1 2,662.1 } deaths. There is no exception to this Some relations have been discovered rule. The rates are also very much to exist between the prevalence of higher for colored persons than for whites. The sex ratios of heart dis- ease mortality are also rather inter- esting. The rates are usually higher for females than for males up to age 30. From that age onward, the rates for males are higher, the dif- ference becoming regularly greater with advancing years. But, if heart disease is particularly important in middle life and at the older ages, it is already an impor- tant condition in childhood and early adult life. Thus, the number of deaths between the ages of 5 to 9 are as many as from two such impor- tant infectious diseases of childhood ~ as measles and whooping cough. Be- tween 15 and 24 years, the deaths from heart disease are more numer- ous than from typhoid fever. Be- tween the ages 25 and 34, heart dis- ease caused each year almost as many deaths as lobar pneumonia. So heart disease is not to be overlooked as a factor in the mortality of young peo- ple. It takes a heavy toll through- out life. It is difficult to understand just why the rates for young girls after age 5 should be much higher than for boys at the corresponding ages. Perhaps the same causes are at work which make the death rates from tuberculosis higher among grow- ing girls than among boys. The greater prevalence of heart disease among colored people is notorious. Colored males show rates from heart disease during the main period of lite trom 65. to. 80 per cent higher than for white males at the same ages; those for colored women are twice as high as for white women at a number of age periods of life. Possibly, the higher prevalence of such diseases as syphilis, malaria, and typhoid fever in the colored race plays an important part in creating the excess of heart disease mortality. heart disease and occupation. While the figures are not entirely trust- worthy, it would appear that of all occupations, those which are carried on upon the water have the highest heart disease rates. Thus, sailors, fishermen, and to a less degree, barge- men, show a very high prevalence of heart affection. It is possible that this relationship is in some way re- lated to exposure to greater dampness and cold. Next to these occupations are those exposed to alcoholism, in- cluding brewers, and those exposed to lead poisoning. There are high rates for metal workers, blacksmiths, and All sedentary occupations have favor- able death rates from heart disease. Summary To summarize the facts then, we may say that, according to our best knowledge, there are about two and one-half million persons in the United States who, on examination, would show some type of organic heart le- sion. These persons are not all sick. Many of them are engaged in their ordinary pursuits and have no idea of their impairment. Yet, they are seriously impaired lives who, unless they take note of their condition and adapt themselves to their lesser ca- pacity to labor, will break down at a premature age. Insurance studies have shown that persons impaired with such minor defects as mitral re- gurgitation have, as a group, double mortality for their age. It is the business of American physicians, and especially of those in the cardiac clinics, to discover for each commun- ity those who are in any way suffer- ing from one type or another of heart defect. No one knows the amount of loss sustained annually through the disability for work which results from the varying incapacity among these two and one-half million people. 3 In addition, there are each year in the United States about one hundred and fifty thousand deaths from heart disease and the number is not de- clining. Even under age 45, there are each year over 22,000 deaths. Each one of these deaths represents a distinct loss to the community since these persons are presumably at an age where production may be ex- pected to be at its highest. They leave good sized families of minor children who suffer from the loss of a parent and, more usually, the father. This is the extent of the com- munity problem which is brought about each year by heart disease. It is very obvious, however, that our information with reference to heart disease both as a cause of sickness and of death is very frag- mentary. At the present time, there is really no agency or machinery for collecting the facts by means of which the campaign against heart dis- ease can be properly guided. It is just this sort of machinery that is called for at the present stage of the movement. This information will provide checks against misdirected enterprise, and will suggest which of many possible lines of activity are really worthwhile. What promises to fill this need is _ the plan of the Association for the Prevention and Relief of Heart Dis- ease in the City of New York. This Association, which conducts a consid- erable number of cardiac clinics, pro- poses to keep systematic records in connection with its work. The great- est emphasis has been placed upon a full history in each case, and on a complete record of the findings on each examination. A series of fol- low-up visits by social workers is planned, and the findings from this source are likewise provided for in the record. A system of tabulation and of analysis is being considered, so as to answer the outstanding ques- tions which the directors of this As- sociation have in mind. It is hoped that out of these records it will be possible to throw light on the prog- nosis in various types of cases, on the duration of the various heart lesions from inception to death and on the value of certain types of treatment in relation to the restoration of work- ing capacity. A goodly number of other factual items will naturally sug- gest themselves at the outset of a campaign against a disease of such magnitude as heart disease. We ap- pend to this article a reproduction of the first page of the record form (Fig: 1). _ What is being planned for the city of New York should, of course, be seriously considered by associations of heart disease clinics in other cities of the country. It is certainly to be hoped that the clinics of such cities as Boston, Chicago, and Philadelphia, whether carried out under municipal or private auspices, will develop a similar system of records and plan similar tabulations and analyses. The greatest value of this effort will come from the multiplication of sources of information and out of the exchange of experience from place to place. : What will probably remain a most fertile field for the development of knowledge is the practice of individ- ual physicians who must, for a long time, continue to be the chief instru- ments in the campaign against heart disease. The individual doctor should appreciate, more and more, the neces- sity of keeping a full history and cur- rent record of his cardiac patients. The record form recommended for use in New York City should be indorsed by the leaders of the profession, and its use encouraged by the great body of physicians. It will then be pos- sible at regular intervals to send the material to some central agency where the records might be tabulated and the conclusions made available to the whole profession. On a foun- dation of established fact, the cam- paign against heart disease will make rapid and substantial progress. ASSOCIATION FOR THE PREVENTION AND RELIEF OF HEART DISEASE--First Record Hospital Out-patient dept. or clinic | Date Serial No. (A. P-R.H.) Issuing Clinic No. Name of patient Address Sex Color or race Age Single Reisgion Married Widowed PLACE OF BIRTH: Patient attending Country SCHOOL? Town or city | Country of birth of patient's mother Number and addressof SC oo Days lost from SCHOQL during past five years: 4 5 OCCUPATION OF PATIENT: [Time lost acct. sickness each History Type of Work No. of war hours per week Teed ough Wage Date entered General nature of industry or business per week Trade or particular kind of work Present occu pation Past occupation (1) Past occupation (2) Past occupation (3) Past occupation (4) FAMILY HISTORY: Ttem age; from If of death. disease PRESENT HABITS AND HYGIENE: Sleep—hours Sleep—{Good—fair—poor—very bad) Sleep—How many pillows Habits. (State “Heavy “—" moderate” —“‘none™ Alcohol | Tea Coffee Sweets | Drugs | Tobacco Appetite (Good—fair—poor—very bad) ‘How many per day? Bowels regular? pes ‘igars Pi | Cigarettes | Ghew (Yes or no) PATIENT'S PAST HISTORY: HEART HISTORY: (Congenital Giotal(derscnnyothllnere Noi times confined toibed” | Days cut of | How many days and in what year was paticnt disabled for work beeen or acquired? Years ‘Months A 2nd attack | 3rd at -[¥ eteackalusthte taskn|icikis tase javier aca : tack Yr | Ye Yr t Home In Hospital Days work past year] Ist attack | Yr. | Days tac! | Days} Yr. Ee ac Yr ie Yr eee HISTORY OF OTHER DISEASE: (If patient has had the disease, indicate by “ Y” and give year of occurrence. If not, write"-N" Indicate severity: S"—Severe, “M""-Moderate, “L"’-Lighz} Yes or No Yes or No Year Yes or No Disease Year Dieease Disease Year Disease Yes or No Yenr Ist attack onsillitis 2nd Side Rheumatic fever Ist pr and: 2: ordi fever Purpura ooth and gum Rheumatic nodules orticollis cough Erythema nodosum or growing pains PREVIOUS MEDICAL TREATMENT Treated » Treatment Time in Bed ! Private Physician { Clinic | Hospital Sanatorium Osteopath Chirepractor SYMPTOMS—PAST AND PRESENT: (Answer yes (Y) or no (N), and give dates if possible). _If any symptoms are brought about by exertion or excitement, apecify aymptom by writing (E). First symptom Fatigue | Dyspnoesa Orthopnoea Palpitation Cough Swelling—lege or abdomen | Headache Pallor Nausea | Vomiting “Pain under right costa! margin Loss of weight’ | Giddiness Faintness Flushing Sweating t Tremor Nose-Bleed Pain—site Pain—rediation | Pain—character Fig. 1.—The greatest emphasis is placed upon systematic records in each case of heart disease. This record form, adopted by the New York Association for the Prevention and Relief of Heart Disease provides for full history and complete record of physical findings on each examination. Such records will develop possibilities of prognosis in given conditions. THE MODERN HOSPITAL PUBLISHING CO., CHICAGO cublishers, The Modern Hospital ; The Modern Hospital Year Book The Nation’s Health