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DEC i» 1973

CENTER FOR ADVANCED STUDY IN THE BEHAVIORAL SCIENCES

202 Junipero Serra Boulevard * Stanford, California 94305 Telephone (415) 321-2052

12 December 1973

Professor Joshua Lederberg
School of Medicine-Genetics Dept.
Stanford University

Stanford, California 94305

Dear Josh:

The Center plans to undertake, during the 1974-75 academic year, a
project on the implications for deterrence strategy of the changes, both
technological and social, which the next decade will bring. The project
will be part of the Center's Program on Science, Technology and Society
(POSTS), which is partially uspported by the National Science Foundation.
Full-time participants will include George H. Quester, Y. Harkabi, Richard
Smoke, Lawrence Weiler and one additional person, yet to be determined.
Sidney Drell will be an active, though part-time, participant. We also
plan to invite a number of physical scientists as visitors to the Center
during the course of the year. And, of course, we hope that there will
be considerable interaction with those Stanford scholars with interests
related to the project.

In preparation for this project, a three-day conference will be
held at the Center on Friday, Saturday and Sunday, March 8, 9, 10 of
1974. A descriptive agenda for the conference is attached. We know that
the conference will be of value to those participating in the project,
but we also hope and expect that it will facilitate an exchange of ideas
among all the attendees to their mutual benefit. Total attendance will
be about thirty.

The conference agenda is intended to survey many or most of the
strategic issues that will be undergoing a metamorphosis in the next
decade, tapping participants for their views as to where we are headed,
and presenting our own preliminary suspicions about what the interesting
questions will be. As such, therefore, the conference is less intended
to reach conclusions than to establish a docket of old conclusions that
need to be reexamined, as well as new issues to be tackled.

The purpose of this letter is to invite you to participate in the
conference scheduled for March 8, 9, 10 of 1974. We very much hope that

you will be able to join us.

Sincerely yours,

PA:mt Paul Armer