Recommendations of the Biogenetic Engineering Expert Panel On February 20, we met to advise the Department of State on potential developments in, and foreign policy implications of, genetic engineering over the next two decades. We concluded that genetic engineering will be one of the most significant scienti- fic breakthroughs during this administration's term of office, During the next two decades, these developments will have an impact on a par with that of unleashing the atom, escaping the earth's gravity, and developing artificial intelligence. Genetic enginee- ring holds the promise of revolutionizing agriculture, health and industry, and offers the U.S. the opportunity for commercial and scienfific leadership if appropriate steps are taken now. Listed below are our findings and recommendations. A more de- tailed summary of the meeting is provided separately. -- Top priority: we must preserve germplasm on an interna- tional scale to protect against crop ‘pathogens and loss of genetic diversity. -- To enhance commercial competitiveness and demonstrate U.S. leadership abroad, we need to restore emphasis on the basic plant sciences, industrial and medical microbiology and parasitology. We must train new people and provide finan- cial support over longer periods of time than the usual 3-5 years of competitive grants. The U.S. should encourage broad exchanges, both to and from the U.S., with scientists from developed and developing countries. We must be ready for, and encourage, massive advances in waste recycling technologies and pollution reduction, in energy conserving fashions. We must develop international standards for patent protec- tion, safety and liability. The latter is especially important due to the increasing potential for large-scale release of micro-organisms into the environment, We need to focus attention on and develop expertise in crops that are important to other countries, especially tropical. Opportunities exist for trade and for increas- ing food production in developing countries, While the impact of biomass on world energy supply is uncer- tain, we will be able to use biotechnologies to replace some energy-intensive technologies (e.g., improving fermentation to increase gasohol production; recovering more oil in situ). Serious pathogens with military potential already exist; genetic engineering will not make any that are worse. But new technologies could be used to destroy or reduce crop production or increase terrorist threats. At the same time, our capability to protect against biological warfare is increasing. With the ability to protect a selected populace against a biological agent also comes the ability to use that agent against others. -- To improve U.S. competitiveness with other developed coun- tries (especially Japan and the FRG), we need to provide a depreciation allowance for industrial research and a larger allowance for industry-university collaborative research. -~- New technologies will allow us to conquer parasitic and infectious diseases cost-effectively. It would have tre- mendous foreign policy value if the U.S. were to launch a program to eradicate these scourges worldwide. -- New antibiotics and monoclonal antibodies (which will allow specifically targeted treatment as for cancer) also will improve human health in both the developing and developed world. The resulting increase in longevity and added impe- tus to population growth generates the need to develop and disseminate new contraceptive technologies. -- We must adopt flexible regulations to ensure that over- regulation does not make us non-competitive with other coun- tries. We must also encourage other countries to observe our health and safety standards. Preserving a rational environment is crucial. ATTENDEES FOR THE GENETIC ENGINEERING PANEL MEETING Panelists: Jean Mayer Winston Brill William Rutter Howard Schneiderman Frank Young OES Personnel: AAAS Thomas Pickering James Malone Ann Hollick Margaret Gould George Kovach David McClintock Bill Walsh Personnel: William Carey Richard Scribner Other Agency Observers: OTA ~ Zsolt Harsanyi NIH - Bernard Talbot FDA -— Henry Miller USDA - John Fulkerson Patent Office - Stan Schlosser NSF — Norman Cohn or Delill Nasser Panelists in absentia: David Baltimore Joshua Lederberg Maxine Singer AID ~ Howard Minners and Lloyd Frederick Other State Observers: S/P - Joel Johnson PM - Leslie Brown