NOTES & COMMENT Better Living Through the Placebo Effect It pays to believe ATE in his life the famous chemist Linus Pauling devoted himself to cur- ing the common cold. Perhaps, lying in bed one day filling paper bags with used tissues, he calculated just how much suf- fering this run-of-the-mill virus inflicts on humanity. Using statistics from stan- dard medical texts, he would have con- cluded that over a lifetime the average person is subjected to some 24,000 hours of coughing, throat pain, conges- tion, and headache from colds. Though each cold is, of course, a relatively minor illness, most people’s total accumulation of suffering from colds is immense. If he could cure the common cold, Pauling must have thought, or even alleviate its symptoms, he would be doing humanity a great service. At the age of seventy he claimed to have the answer: in his book Vitamin C and the Common Cold (1970) he argued that large doses of vitamin C could prevent the onset of colds or help to minimize their symptoms. But there was a problem: Pauling had no real evidence to support his claim. On the contrary, at least sixteen studies, car- tied out before and since, have shown that vitamin C does not prevent colds; at best it may slightly re- duce a cold’s symptoms, but even this is widely disputed. Pauling’s own laborato- ry came up with only the anemic finding that high doses of the vitamin could reduce the average number of symptomatic days per cold from 7.8 to 7.1. Pauling’s colleagues tried to be respectful to the man once considered the world’s greatest scientist, but in private many snickered. Pauling must be senile. It was a shame to end such a brilliant career on a false note. My brother, a doctor who also has a Ph.D. in neurophys- iology, offers an alternative explanation. Perhaps Pauling was neither senile nor misguided. What if he was using psychology, instead of chemistry, in a culminating act to alleviate human suffering? He may have been counting on the drug that Steve Martin touted in one of his early stand-up routines, a pill that 16 Illustration by Christoph Niemann by Marshall Jon Fisher made Martin feel ecstatic. “It’s called,” Martin would intone in a dramatic voice, “Plah- Cee-Bo.” Vitamin C may have no physiological effect on colds, but there is evidence for a strong psychosomatic component in people’s susceptibility to colds. Re- searchers have shown that those who take a placebo in the early stages of a cold experience milder symptoms. Some studies have found that the placebo effect can also palliate symp- toms of asthma, sciatica, and even con- gestive heart failure and cancer. Cancer patients whose disease has spread to the bones are often treated with radioactive isotopes, which chemically bind to bone and alleviate pain, probably by killing adjacent nerve endings. In numerous studies some patients were inject- ed with a radioactive isotope and others with a placebo. Ap- proximately 75 percent of those who got the chemical treatment reported partial or complete relief from their pain. However, about 30 percent of the placebo group also reported relief. In the 1950s, in order to test the effectiveness of a new sur- gical treatment for angina, surgeons at the University of Kansas Medical Center performed real operations on one group of patients and “placebo operations” on another group. The place- bo patients were told that they were going to have heart sur- gery. They were given a local anesthetic, and incisions were made in their chests. But no therapeutic procedure was per- formed—the surgeon simply fiddled around a bit in the chest wall for show. The patients left the hospital with scars and with pain at the incision sites; they had no reason to believe they had not undergone the proper surgery. Seventy percent of the pa- tients who had had the real surgery reported long-term im- provement; ail the placebo patients did: Many declared them- selves fully cured and returned to physically demanding jobs. Pauling would certainly have been aware of the placebo re- search. He was also undoubtedly aware of the authority he com- manded as the winner of Nobel Prizes in chemistry (1954) and OCTOBER 2000 peace (1962). If he declared that vitamin C prevented colds, people would believe it. And if they believed it, then it would be true. And so, my brother’s theory goes, he pronounced his “discovery,” knowing that it was false but that it would nonetheless alleviate an enormous amount of suffering until a real cure could be found. Pauling claimed that he himself took 12,000 milligrams of vitamin C a day, and 40,000 whenever he felt a cold coming on (the Food and Drug Administration’s rec- ommendation is sixty milligrams a day). He spent decades defending his theory and his reputation. He also declared that vita- min C was effective in treating heart dis- ease and other serious illnesses. And he swore that vitamin C had enabled him to fight off prostate cancer for twenty years. (He succumbed to the disease in 1994, at the age of ninety-three.) Most scientists took all this as a sign of senility. But, one could argue, Pauling would have had to feign absolute belief in order to foment a worldwide placebo effect. In the end, the fact that Pauling ad- vocated such high doses of vitamin C— much higher than needed for a placebo effect, and so high that dangerous side effects could occur—casts doubt on this explanation. It’s more likely, my brother admits, that Pauling did take leave of some of his faculties. Still, the Pauling Pla- cebo, whether intentional or not, has sure- ly worked. Over the years, Pauling’s dec- larations have diffused throughout the public consciousness. Millions of people, many of whom have never heard of Linus Pauling, have taken vitamin C to ward off colds. And many of them have unques- tionably benefited. 8 a e Another supposed antidote to the com- mon cold recently hit the market, in the form of zinc lozenges. A 1996 study pub- lished in the Annals of Internal Medi- cine showed that cold patients who took zinc lozenges were relieved of symptoms three days sooner than patients who did not. A few other studies confirmed this re- sult, but an equal number found that zinc had no effect. Many doctors, including my brother, suspect that the zinc lozenges, too, are mainly placebos. Not that that di- minishes their effectiveness. In fact, my brother starts popping zinc whenever he feels a sore throat coming on. This may be the first time someone has deliberately used a placebo to cure himself. Once | made the mistake of referring to the refut- ative studies, and my brother cut me off, “Don’t talk about that!” he said. “You'll ruin my placebo effect!” Those of us unable to get around this Catch-22—unable, that is, to believe something that we know will be true only if we believe it—pay for our clearheaded- ness. Neither vitamin C nor zinc staves off our colds; we stay home drinking tea and mixing and matching antihistamines and decongestants, cough suppressants and expectorants, while our more gullible friends are out enjoying tennis and the theater. And our pain is not limited to the physical. For instance, it must be a great comfort to believe in God. But how can one believe simply because one knows that belief would provide comfort? The placebo-resistant are also less suc- cessful in life. Most people agree that self-confidence is an advantage in almost any endeavor. It helps talented people to fulfill—and to market—their talent; it also helps people without much talent to suc- ceed beyond any reasonable expectation. Many people, though, the talented and the untalented alike, are less successful than they might be, owing to low self-esteem. They are unable to believe in themselves just because that belief would be self- fulfilling. Instead they watch helplessly as others rise through the ranks above them, buoyed by robust, if sometimes de- lusional, self-assurance. « a s The last few times I’ve had a cold, it’s been followed by a cold sore that made me recall my scratchy throat and stuffed nose with nostalgia. When I complained to my brother, he told me about some studies that have shown vitamin E and vitamin C with citrus bioflavonoids to be effective against cold sores. The next time I saw him, he gave me a bottle of each. I scrutinized his expression. Was he on the level? Or was he trying to ease my suffering by creating a placebo effect? I had never heard of the studies he’d men- tioned, but as a layperson, I probably wouldn’t have. It didn’t seem worth spend- ing hours in a medical library just to try to prove the pills useless. The next time [ got a cold, I took the vi- tamins. And I didn’t get a cold sore. I start- ed taking the vitamins whenever I felt the slightest symptoms of atvold, and I haven’t developed a cold sore since. Did the vita- mins work? Did my belief in the vitamins work? Or have I just been lucky this year? I don’t know, and I don’t want to know. & OCTOBER 2006